The Irish Crisis[1] is important, not merely in economic terms, but from the perspective of seeing how the future, post Great Recession world order, is evolving. I will argue here that ultimately the shape of a post-recession world will be … Continue reading
If your business plans hinge on the continued rolling forward of the globalization bandwagon then you had better draw up a contingency plan (regular readers of this blog will have already prepared such plans). The news[1] that the US Fed … Continue reading
September was a bad press month for Ireland. The month started with Boone and Johnston[1] noting that each family in Ireland could end up being liable for Euro200,000 of public debt by 2015. Munchau[2] talked of the possibility of default … Continue reading
Just take a look at a major stock market index and the roller-coaster route that it has traveled over the last 6 months. Taking the FTSE 100 index, we have the highs of elation in April with a rise to … Continue reading
An interesting article appeared in today’s Financial Times[1] noting the failure of recently released 3D films – which may have implications for the take up of the next wave of consumer-focused innovation – 3D TV. Here in the double-dip threatened … Continue reading
Arguably two books, published over the last twenty years, have made a profound impact on the way that business leaders see the future world. One is Fukuyama’s The End of History and the Last Man[1] arguing that western-based liberal democracy … Continue reading
Unfortunately, the world never moves in straight lines. That’s why predicting the future, especially when making business plans, is so difficult. A recent review of one long-term projection, Britain in 2010[1], a study prepared in in 1990 looking at the … Continue reading
Many businesses face the prospect of a “perfect storm”. For those in the insurance industry, this is a combination of catastrophe losses followed by the challenges of a “W” shaped recession that could bring social upheaval and political change in … Continue reading
Get a group of people in a room and ask them what the drivers of change are – the forces that could reshape the world we live in. I would hazard a guess that the list of change drivers that … Continue reading
Nothing like an attention grabbing headline. But it is a headline that raises serious issues. Now that a pathway (of varying lengths and gradients, depending upon where you are located) is appearing leading us out of the Great Recession, a … Continue reading