http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog Strategy for a world in transition Wed, 14 Jul 2010 08:09:51 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog/index.php/2009/03/27/navigating-the-recession-the-waves-of-change/comment-page-1/#comment-1122 Dr Robert Davies: Strategy Blog » Blog Archive » The New Deal Wed, 14 Jul 2010 08:09:51 +0000 http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog/?p=106#comment-1122 [...] Those of you who are regular readers of my blog will be familiar with my view that the real impact of any recession is felt when the economists call the recession over. It’s only after a recession is technically closed that the real driving forces of change (I’m talking primarily political and socio-demographic drivers here) come into play. If you’re interested in the phases of change that I think come after the economically declared end of a recession – take a look at this post – Navigating the Waves of Change. [...] [...] Those of you who are regular readers of my blog will be familiar with my view that the real impact of any recession is felt when the economists call the recession over. It’s only after a recession is technically closed that the real driving forces of change (I’m talking primarily political and socio-demographic drivers here) come into play. If you’re interested in the phases of change that I think come after the economically declared end of a recession – take a look at this post – Navigating the Waves of Change. [...]

]]> http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog/index.php/2010/05/05/seeds-of-change-unemployment-in-15-24-year-olds/comment-page-1/#comment-1120 Dr Robert Davies: Strategy Blog » Blog Archive » Creative Destruction: The political dimension Thu, 27 May 2010 08:47:10 +0000 http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog/?p=397#comment-1120 [...] in earlier posts.  For example, New Politics is on my list of trends to watch. Other posts include The Seeds of Change and Greece, Debt, Contagion and Political [...] [...] in earlier posts.  For example, New Politics is on my list of trends to watch. Other posts include The Seeds of Change and Greece, Debt, Contagion and Political [...]

]]> http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog/index.php/2010/04/08/thoughts-of-an-l-shaped-recovery-and-future-worlds/comment-page-1/#comment-1117 Dr Robert Davies: Strategy Blog » Blog Archive » Consumerism is Dead Thu, 13 May 2010 21:01:41 +0000 http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog/?p=361#comment-1117 [...] To conclude, forecasting the direction of the recovery in a globally inter-connected world is very, very difficult. There are far too many independent variables at play. The view put forward that the emerging economies, followed later by the US, will provide us with consumer-fuelled growth should be regarded as the “Golden Scenario”. Businesses must urgently consider at least one alternative scenario, where consumerism wilts and we enter an extended low growth environment. More of that here. [...] [...] To conclude, forecasting the direction of the recovery in a globally inter-connected world is very, very difficult. There are far too many independent variables at play. The view put forward that the emerging economies, followed later by the US, will provide us with consumer-fuelled growth should be regarded as the “Golden Scenario”. Businesses must urgently consider at least one alternative scenario, where consumerism wilts and we enter an extended low growth environment. More of that here. [...]

]]> http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog/index.php/2010/03/31/the-b3-the-new-face-of-globalization/comment-page-1/#comment-1114 Dr Robert Davies: Strategy Blog » Blog Archive » Greece, Debt, Contagion and an Innovation Wave Thu, 29 Apr 2010 07:42:32 +0000 http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog/?p=352#comment-1114 [...] Unlikely bedfellows you may think, but two articles from the Institute of Fiscal Studies[1], [2] can help us to see the type of future that awaits us, particularly for the losers of the Great Recession, those that I call the “bloc #3“. [...] [...] Unlikely bedfellows you may think, but two articles from the Institute of Fiscal Studies[1], [2] can help us to see the type of future that awaits us, particularly for the losers of the Great Recession, those that I call the “bloc #3“. [...]

]]> http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog/index.php/2010/03/31/the-b3-the-new-face-of-globalization/comment-page-1/#comment-1112 Dr Robert Davies: Strategy Blog » Blog Archive » Thoughts of an L-Shaped Recovery and Future Worlds Thu, 08 Apr 2010 12:44:33 +0000 http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog/?p=352#comment-1112 [...] be under no illusion, this is not just a problem for the UK. As I have noted in an earlier posting, the developed economies are fragmenting into two groups – those that have weathered the storm in [...] [...] be under no illusion, this is not just a problem for the UK. As I have noted in an earlier posting, the developed economies are fragmenting into two groups – those that have weathered the storm in [...]

]]> http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog/index.php/2009/07/15/your-clients-who-will-be-the-winners-and-the-losers/comment-page-1/#comment-1111 Dr Robert Davies: Strategy Blog » Blog Archive » Old Strategies for a New World? Thu, 01 Apr 2010 12:59:47 +0000 http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog/?p=159#comment-1111 [...] old world strategies (most notably cost-cutting) in an emerging new world. I have argued elsewhere[2] that the deeper the recession runs then the deeper will be the change in customer needs, behaviours [...] [...] old world strategies (most notably cost-cutting) in an emerging new world. I have argued elsewhere[2] that the deeper the recession runs then the deeper will be the change in customer needs, behaviours [...]

]]> http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog/index.php/2009/11/27/so-how-long-are-we-in-this-for/comment-page-1/#comment-1110 Dr Robert Davies: Strategy Blog » Blog Archive » How long are we in this for – Part II Mon, 14 Dec 2009 16:57:40 +0000 http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog/?p=263#comment-1110 [...] my post So how long are we in this for? I reflected upon unemployment as a key indicator for strategists.  It is, after all, employment, [...] [...] my post So how long are we in this for? I reflected upon unemployment as a key indicator for strategists.  It is, after all, employment, [...]

]]> http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog/index.php/2009/07/31/recession-understanding-the-business-and-psychological-impact/comment-page-1/#comment-1108 Dr Robert Davies: Strategy Blog » Blog Archive » HR should do more in a recession Tue, 01 Sep 2009 12:26:54 +0000 http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog/?p=195#comment-1108 [...] own research indicates that if HR is looking for a focal point for innovation during this downturn, then getting [...] [...] own research indicates that if HR is looking for a focal point for innovation during this downturn, then getting [...]

]]> http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog/index.php/2008/11/10/recession-and-strategy-the-old-questions-dont-work-anymore/comment-page-1/#comment-1095 Dr Robert Davies: Strategy Blog » Blog Archive » Recession and Strategy: The first unfortunate signs of structural change. Sun, 29 Mar 2009 20:50:30 +0000 http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog/?p=24#comment-1095 [...] year is an upsetting indicator that the type of structural change described in my previous posting Recession and Strategy:  The old questions don’t work anymore is upon us.  Reports say the Citigroup will be left with some 300,000 employees indicating that as [...] [...] year is an upsetting indicator that the type of structural change described in my previous posting Recession and Strategy:  The old questions don’t work anymore is upon us.  Reports say the Citigroup will be left with some 300,000 employees indicating that as [...]

]]> http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog/index.php/2009/02/11/davos-2009-recession-and-business-strategy-quo-vadis/comment-page-1/#comment-1094 Dr Robert Davies: Strategy Blog » Blog Archive » Recession: Looking for stress points Wed, 25 Feb 2009 15:44:14 +0000 http://www.drrobertdavies.com/blog/?p=73#comment-1094 [...] my last posting Davos 2009, Recession and Business Strategy: Quo Vadis? I included some straightforward questions to start the process of “stress testing” your [...] [...] my last posting Davos 2009, Recession and Business Strategy: Quo Vadis? I included some straightforward questions to start the process of “stress testing” your [...]

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