This briefing is based on a presentation to the Alumni of the University of Westminster on November 9, 2010. You can view this presentation online here. OVERVIEW: SEEING THE REAL PICTURE If we look back over the last 24 tumultuous months, a period that threatened the end of the business […]
Conventional thinking tells us that whatever happens the ‘advanced economies’ will always be here. It seems to be a foregone conclusion that Europe will always be a major part of the world map. But is this conventional thinking misleading? Is the West under attack and are historic alliances splintering? If […]
Text of presentation given by Dr Robert Davies at the City University British election roundtable event 30 April 2015 Overview: This talk introduces the ‘toxic 5‘ – factors that could destabilise western democracies. Many of these factors my be in position now. Business leaders seeking resilience should consider preparing […]
As most of you know, I spend a lot of time thinking about the future of the business world from less than conventional angles. One of the most popular arguments that I hear supporting the mainstream view that the world is moving in one stoppable direction – the creation of […]
Download a pdf version Overview: Research tells us that one of the secrets to building a resilient organisation is to understand and interpret weak signals better than the competition. Weak signals can help us prepare for future shocks. If we look at recent developments, particularly in the Ukraine and the Middle East, there […]
The Ukraine and Argentina have been in my mind over the past few days. Both have a common linkage – the power of people. In the Ukraine we have seen a massive up-swell of opinion against intentions to align the country with a new Russian-led Eurasian Union as opposed to […]
No, it’s not the latest business ‘cure-all panacea’ to follow in the footsteps of BPR (business process re-engineering), TQM (total quality management) or the BSC (balanced scorecard). RTP is none of these, although it is one of a number of key leading indicators that business leaders should be looking at […]
So it’s over for now, the prospect of a US debt default. The can has been kicked down the road. But the road is a dead end and there’s not much tarmac left. Whether we like it or not, a new world order, or orders in the plural, is headed […]
And so the sun is forecast to set on the West. After all, the OECD have predicted that China’s economy will eclipse that of the US by 2016. But don’t worry – the old economies (including the UK) will continue to shape the world. You see, we’ve got ‘soft power’, […]
The original version of this article appeared in The Conversation on 6th June 2013 as The fractures behind Turkey’s uprising carry a global warning The picture of a woman in a red dress, drenched with pepper spray, forms a haunting image. For many, this photograph summarises the outpouring of emotion […]
